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Cannes Film Festival

Which film will win the Palme d'Or

The Palme d’Or is the highest honor awarded at the Cannes Film Festival, recognizing the best film in the official competition. The 2026 lineup features a global mix of acclaimed directors each bringing distinct storytelling styles to the competition. Learn more

Trends

Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities

Gentle Monster
The Black Ball
Hope
Coward
Sheep in the Box
The Dreamed Adventure
Garance
A Woman's Life
All of a Sudden
The Man I Love
Moulin
Fatherland
The Unknown
Stories of the Night
Naga Diary
Histoires Parallèles
The Beloved
Bitter Christmas
Minotaur
Fjord

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Rules Summary

This market will resolve to YES if the selected option wins the Palme d'Or at this year's Cannes Film Festival. Otherwise, the market resolves to NO. The outcome will be verified by the official Cannes Film Festival announcements.

Market Closes

This market closes on 5/22/2026 at 9:00 AM ET.

This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 5/22/2026, 9:00 AM ET.


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This market is closed and no longer accepting trades.