Mario ventures into space, exploring cosmic worlds and tackling galactic challenges far from the familiar Mushroom Kingdom. The Super Mario Bros. Movie (2023) earned a massive $377.5 million worldwide in its five-day opening weekend, marking the biggest global animated launch of all time. Its three-day domestic opening was $146.4 million. Will this movie surpass the original? Learn more
Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities
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The market resolves to YES if The Super Mario Galaxy Movie earn more than $146.4M at the domestic box office during its opening weekend (Apr 1–5). Otherwise, the market resolves to NO. This outcome will be verified by Box Office Mojo.
This market closes on 4/2/2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 4/2/2026, 11:59 PM ET.
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