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Will Marian and Larry be married by the end of Gilded Age S4?

Larry Russell proposed in Season 3. Then Marian learned he had lied about where he spent the night of their engagement, and she called it off by letter. They found their way back to each other at Bertha's ball. Learn more

Trends

Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities

Yes

No

Choose an option⁠

Yes

52%

52¢

No

48%

48¢

Rules Summary

The market resolves YES if Marian and Larry are married by the end of Season 4. Otherwise, the market resolves NO. The outcome will be verified by HBO, Deadline, TV Insider.

Market Closes

This market closes on 11/30/2026 at 6:59 PM ET.

This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 11/30/2026, 6:59 PM ET.

Ideas⁠

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Choose an option⁠

Yes

52%

52¢

No

48%

48¢