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The Diplomat: Season 4

Will Kate and Hal be married by The Diplomat S4 finale?

Kate and Hal quietly ended their marriage last season and kept performing it in public — separate lives, one shared last name. Then they found their way back to each other, and ninety seconds later Kate learned what he'd done. "I'm not trying to get out of the marriage," she says in the trailer. "I'm trying to get back in." Hal's answer, when she recites her vows: "Are you sure?" Learn more

Trends

Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities

Married
Divorced
Separated
Choose an option⁠
Married
30%
30¢
Divorced
23%
23¢
Separated
46%
46¢
Rules Summary

The market resolves YES if Kate and Hal are the selected option by the end of season 4. Otherwise, the market resolves NO. The outcome will be verified on Netflix.

Market Closes

This market closes on 10/14/2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 10/14/2026, 11:59 PM ET.


Ideas⁠

Sign in to join the conversation.

Choose an option⁠
Married
30%
30¢
Divorced
23%
23¢
Separated
46%
46¢

Learn more