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Market Trends

What will the 2026 domestic box office total be?

Box Office Mojo had 2025’s domestic box office at $8.66 billion. That’s still about 24% below 2019’s $11.4 billion. In 2026, Spider-Man: Brand New Day and The Odyssey pushed summer to a record $4.76 billion, and Avengers: Doomsday and Dune: Part Three both open Dec. 18. Will 2026 be the year moviegoing comes all the way back? Learn more

Trends

Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities

Under $9.5B
$9.5B–$9.99B
$10B–$10.49B
$11B or more
  • Under $9.5B: 14%
  • $9.5B–$9.99B: 50%
  • $10B–$10.49B: 19%
  • $11B or more: 18%
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Rules Summary

The market resolves yes if 2026 domestic box office earnings are the selected option. Otherwise, the market resolves NO. The outcome will be verified on Box Office Mojo and Variety.

Market Closes

This market closes on 11/30/2026 at 9:24 PM ET.

This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 11/30/2026, 9:24 PM ET.


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