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The Diplomat: Season 4

What will Kate do about the stolen Poseidon?

Kate spent the season holding a peace together. In the last minute of it she worked out that her husband and the President had used her to sell that peace on a lie — and that a Russian doomsday weapon is now in American hands. Hal knows she knows. He's already told Grace. Season 4 opens in that room. Learn more

Trends

Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities

Exposes it publicly
Tells the British government privately
Keeps it secret
Someone else exposes it
Choose an option⁠
Exposes it publicly
22%
22¢
Tells the British government privately
26%
26¢
Keeps it secret
25%
25¢
Someone else exposes it
27%
27¢
Rules Summary

The market resolves YES if the film shows the selected option for the stolen Poseidon. Otherwise, the market resolves NO. The outcome will be verified on Netflix.

Market Closes

This market closes on 10/14/2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 10/14/2026, 11:59 PM ET.


Ideas⁠

Sign in to join the conversation.

Choose an option⁠
Exposes it publicly
22%
22¢
Tells the British government privately
26%
26¢
Keeps it secret
25%
25¢
Someone else exposes it
27%
27¢

Learn more