Twenty films arrive on the Lido having never been seen by anyone. Every one is a world premiere — that's the festival's rule. Over eleven days a jury led by Maggie Gyllenhaal watches all of them and picks one. Last year's winner went to Jim Jarmusch. This year the field is almost entirely auteurs, with the studios largely absent. Learn more
Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities
The market resolves YES if the selected option wins the Golden Lion award. Otherwise, the market resolves NO. The outcome will be verified by the Venice Film Festival, Variety, Deadline, The Hollywood Reporter.
This market closes on 9/11/2026 at 7:59 PM ET.
This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 9/11/2026, 7:59 PM ET.
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