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The Social Reckoning

The Social Reckoning's domestic box office opening?

Frances Haugen was a young Facebook engineer who saw what the company knew and decided the public should know it too. She took it to Wall Street Journal and the Facebook Files followed. Aaron Sorkin, who wrote The Social Network, now writes and directs the story of what happened next. Learn more

Trends

Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities

Under $5M
$5M–$7.5M
$7.5–$10M
$10M–$15M
$15M–$20M
$20M or more
  • Under $5M: 15%
  • $5M–$7.5M: 15%
  • $7.5–$10M: 24%
  • $10M–$15M: 21%
  • $15M–$20M: 14%
  • $20M or more: 10%
Choose an option⁠
Under $5M
15%
15¢
$5M–$7.5M
15%
15¢
$7.5–$10M
24%
24¢
$10M–$15M
21%
21¢
$15M–$20M
14%
14¢
$20M or more
10%
10¢
Rules Summary

The market resolves YES if the domestic box office opening is the selected option. Otherwise, the market resolves NO. The outcome will be verified by Box Office Mojo.

Market Closes

This market closes on 10/9/2026 at 7:59 PM ET.

This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 10/9/2026, 7:59 PM ET.


Ideas⁠

Sign in to join the conversation.

Choose an option⁠
Under $5M
15%
15¢
$5M–$7.5M
15%
15¢
$7.5–$10M
24%
24¢
$10M–$15M
21%
21¢
$15M–$20M
14%
14¢
$20M or more
10%
10¢

Learn more