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The Altruists

The Altruists' Popcornmeter?

Sam Bankman-Fried and Caroline Ellison believed they could make billions and give it all away, until $8 billion in customer money went missing. Oscar winner Graham Moore takes us inside their relationship and the small compromises that added up to a historic collapse. Learn more

Trends

Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities

Below 50%
50–59%
60–69%
70–79%
80–85%
85%–89%
90%–94%
95%
  • Below 50%: 8%
  • 50–59%: 9%
  • 60–69%: 10%
  • 70–79%: 15%
  • 80–85%: 23%
  • 85%–89%: 10%
  • 90%–94%: 13%
  • 95%: 13%
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Rules Summary

The market resolves YES if the Popcornmeter is the selected option. Otherwise, the market resolves NO. The outcome will be verified by Rotten Tomatoes.

Market Closes

This market closes on 11/20/2026 at 6:59 PM ET.

This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 11/20/2026, 6:59 PM ET.


Ideas⁠

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