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The Oscars

Oscar nomination for best actor?

The Academy Award for Best Actor recognizes the year’s most outstanding leading male performance in a feature film. Learn more

Trends

Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities

Dwayne Johnson — The Smashing Machine
Ethan Hawke — Blue Moon
Jeremy Allen White — Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere
Jesse Plemons — Bugonia
Joel Edgerton — Train Dreams
Leonardo DiCaprio — One Battle After Another
Michael B. Jordan — Sinners
Oscar Isaac — Frankenstein
Timothée Chalamet — Marty Supreme
Wagner Moura — The Secret Agent
Russell Crowe — Nuremberg
Brendan Fraser — Rental Family

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Rules Summary

Outcome verified using the official Best Actor in a Leading Role nominee list published by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences for the 98th Academy Awards (Oscar.org). A listed actor resolves to YES if they appear on the official nominee list; otherwise, they resolve to NO.

Market Closes

This market closes on 1/21/2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 1/21/2026, 11:59 PM ET.


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