How much will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu earn globally opening weekend?

The first Star Wars theatrical film in nearly seven years lands May 22, 2026. The evil Empire has fallen, and Imperial warlords remain scattered throughout the galaxy. As the fledgling New Republic works to protect everything the Rebellion fought for, they have enlisted the help of legendary Mandalorian bounty hunter Din Djarin (Pedro Pascal) and his young apprentice Grogu. Learn more

Trends

Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities

Under $115 Million

$115M–$144M

$145M–$189M

$190M–$249M

Over $250 Million

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Rules Summary

The market will resolve to YES if the film earns the selected option globally on opening weekend. Otherwise, the market resolves to NO. The outcome will be verified on Box Office Mojo.

Market Closes

This market closes on 5/24/2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 5/24/2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Ideas⁠

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This market is closed and no longer accepting trades.