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Whalefall

Whalefall's domestic opening-weekend box office?

Ocean-survival thrillers have a habit of surprising Hollywood — The Shallows and 47 Meters Down both punched far above their weight. Now a claustrophobic man-vs-nature story starring Josh Brolin and Austin Abrams, the one that stunned CinemaCon crowds, comes to theaters October 16. How big does Whalefall open? Learn more

Trends

Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities

Under $6M
$6M–$9.9M
$10M–$14.9M
$15M–$19.9M
$20M–$29.9M
Above $30M
Choose an option⁠
Under $6M
17%
17¢
$6M–$9.9M
17%
17¢
$10M–$14.9M
17%
17¢
$15M–$19.9M
17%
17¢
$20M–$29.9M
17%
17¢
Above $30M
17%
17¢
Rules Summary

The market resolves YES if the opening weekend is the selected option. Otherwise, the market resolves NO. The outcome will be verified on Box Office Mojo.

Market Closes

This market closes on 10/16/2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 10/16/2026, 11:59 PM ET.


Ideas⁠

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Choose an option⁠
Under $6M
17%
17¢
$6M–$9.9M
17%
17¢
$10M–$14.9M
17%
17¢
$15M–$19.9M
17%
17¢
$20M–$29.9M
17%
17¢
Above $30M
17%
17¢