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Market Trends

Which summer film will earn the highest US opening weekend box office?

Spider-Man: Brand New Day, Toy Story 5, Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey, live-action Moana, Supergirl, Minions & Monsters, and Steven Spielberg's first sci-fi return in years all hit theaters between June and August. Industry forecasters at TheWrap project the season could top $4.2 billion. Learn more

Trends

Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities

Spider-Man: Brand New Day
Toy Story 5
The Odyssey
Moana Live-Action
Disclosure Day
Masters of the Universe
Coyote vs Acme
Other
Choose an option⁠
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
89%
89¢
Toy Story 5
Toy Story 5
8%
8¢
The Odyssey
The Odyssey
2%
2¢
Moana Live-Action
Moana Live-Action
0%
0¢
Disclosure Day
Disclosure Day
0%
0¢
Masters of the Universe
Masters of the Universe
0%
0¢
Coyote vs Acme
Coyote vs Acme
0%
0¢
Other
0%
0¢
Rules Summary

The markets resolves to YES if the selected option earns the most, domestically, on opening weekend. Otherwise, the market resolves to NO. The outcome will be verified on Box Office Mojo.

Market Closes

This market closes on 8/1/2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 8/1/2026, 11:59 PM ET.


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Choose an option⁠
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
89%
89¢
Toy Story 5
Toy Story 5
8%
8¢
The Odyssey
The Odyssey
2%
2¢
Moana Live-Action
Moana Live-Action
0%
0¢
Disclosure Day
Disclosure Day
0%
0¢
Masters of the Universe
Masters of the Universe
0%
0¢
Coyote vs Acme
Coyote vs Acme
0%
0¢
Other
0%
0¢