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Market Trends

Netflix’s next head of film from inside or outside?

In one week Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs, replaced its content chief with outsider Peter Rice, and fired film chief Dan Lin. Rice starts Oct. 26 and will pick Lin’s successor, with Netflix now chasing “big, buzzy hits.” Will he promote from within or bring in a new voice? Learn more

Trends

Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities

Inside Netflix
Outside Netflix
No one named in 2026
  • Inside Netflix: 56%
  • Outside Netflix: 35%
  • No one named in 2026: 10%
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Rules Summary

The market resolves YES if Netflix hires the next film chief the selected option. Otherwise, the market resolves NO. The outcome will be verified by Netflix, Variety, Hollywood Reporter.

Market Closes

This market closes on 12/31/2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 12/31/2026, 11:59 PM ET.


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