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Michael

Will Michael outgross Baz Luhrmann's Elvis lifetime global box office of $287M within its first 30 days?

Michael Jackson idolized Elvis Presley — studying his moves, his magnetism, and his path to becoming a cultural icon. Now, with Michael hitting theaters April 24, 2026, the question is simple: will his story outgross a film about the very idol he admired most? Learn more

Trends

Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities

Yes
No

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Rules Summary

The market resolves to YES if Michael exceeds gross revenue of Elvis in the first 30 days. Otherwise, the market resolves to NO. The outcome will be verified by Box Office Mojo.

Market Closes

This market closes on 5/16/2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 5/16/2026, 11:59 PM ET.


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