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Tour de France

Who will win the 2026 Tour de France ?

It's the duel the cycling world has waited for. Tadej Pogačar arrives as the overwhelming favorite, chasing a record-equaling fifth yellow jersey. But Jonas Vingegaard — the only rider ever to beat Pogačar at the Tour, and the reigning Giro d'Italia champion — is the one man proven to topple him. Behind them, Remco Evenepoel and a pack of climbers wait for any crack in the Alps. Who rides into Paris in yellow? Learn more

Trends

Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities

Tadej Pogačar
Jonas Vingegaard
Remco Evenepoel
Florian Lipowitz
Another rider
Choose an option⁠
Tadej Pogačar
28%
28¢
Jonas Vingegaard
18%
18¢
Remco Evenepoel
18%
18¢
Florian Lipowitz
18%
18¢
Another rider
18%
18¢
Rules Summary

The market resolves YES if the selected option wins the Tour de France. Others, the market resolves NO. The outcome will be verified by Tour de France.

Market Closes

This market closes on 7/18/2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 7/18/2026, 11:59 PM ET.


Ideas⁠

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Learn more

Choose an option⁠
Tadej Pogačar
28%
28¢
Jonas Vingegaard
18%
18¢
Remco Evenepoel
18%
18¢
Florian Lipowitz
18%
18¢
Another rider
18%
18¢