The first half of 2026 was a banner stretch at the box office. A Michael Jackson biopic, a horror film made for under $1 million, and a 20-year-old director's debut each pulled in hundreds of millions, alongside Toy Story and Mario. See full list below. Then Spider-Man: Brand New Day and The Odyssey took over the summer, and Avengers: Doomsday arrives December 18. How many hold their ground through 2026? Learn more
Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities
The market resolves YES if the selected option of these films remain on the top 10 domestic box office list. Otherwise, the market resolves NO. The outcome will be verified on Box Office Mojo.
This market closes on 12/1/2026 at 11:50 PM ET.
This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 12/1/2026, 11:50 PM ET.
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These films from Jan–June are still on the top 10 list as of Sept 26: Toy Story 5, The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, Michael, Project Hail Mary, Obsession, The Devil Wears Prada 2, and Backrooms.
