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American Hostage

Higher Popcornmeter: American Hostage vs Dead Man's Wire?

In February 1977, a man walked into an Indianapolis mortgage office with a shotgun wired to another man's neck and held the city hostage for 63 hours. Two productions have now told that story a year apart. Gus Van Sant's film put the camera on the man with the gun. This series puts it on the radio reporter who had to decide whether to hand him a microphone. Same three days, two different answers about whose story it is. Learn more

Trends

Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities

American Hostage
Dead Man's Wire
Choose an option⁠
American Hostage
44%
44¢
Dead Man's Wire
56%
56¢
Rules Summary

The market resolves YES if the selected option has a higher Popcornmeter. Otherwise, the market resolves NO. The outcome will be verified by Rotten Tomatoes, Variety, Hollywood Reporter.

Market Closes

This market closes on 9/19/2026 at 7:59 PM ET.

This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 9/19/2026, 7:59 PM ET.


Ideas⁠

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Choose an option⁠
American Hostage
44%
44¢
Dead Man's Wire
56%
56¢

Learn more