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Will Sunrise on the Reaping earn more than The Mockingjay Part 1 opening weekend?

Twelve years after Mockingjay Part 1 opened to $121.9 million — the biggest debut of 2014 — Panem returns to theaters November 20. Sunrise on the Reaping tells the origin story of a young Haymitch Abernathy, with Jennifer Lawrence and Josh Hutcherson reprising Katniss and Peeta. Can the prequel out-open the original? In theaters Nov 20. Learn more

Trends

Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities

Yes

No

Choose an option

Yes

38%

38¢

No

62%

62¢

Rules Summary

The market resolves to YES if Sunrise on the Reaping earns more than The Mocking Jay Part 1 on opening weekend. Otherwise, the market resolves to NO. The outcome will be verified on Box Office Mojo.

Market Closes

This market closes on 11/22/2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 11/22/2026, 11:59 PM ET.

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Choose an option

Yes

38%

38¢

No

62%

62¢