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Lucky

Will Lucky's father get out of prison before the S1 finale?

John Armstrong is the con man who raised Lucky, taught her the grift, and went to prison for the scam at the center of it all. With his daughter on the run and the stolen millions still missing, he's locked away while the fallout plays out without him. Learn more

Trends

Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities

Yes
No
Choose an option⁠
Yes
49%
49¢
No
51%
51¢
Rules Summary

The market resolves YES if John is released from prison by the season finale. Otherwise, the market resolves NO. The outcome will be verified by Apple TV.

Market Closes

This market closes on 8/19/2026 at 7:59 PM ET.

This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 8/19/2026, 7:59 PM ET.


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Yes
49%
49¢
No
51%
51¢