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Lioness: Season 3

Did Joe's team extract Aleksi Yurimov or a decoy?

A Ukrainian asset told Joe that taking Aleksi Yurimov would knock Putin's queen off the board. Joe's team went into Donetsk and came out with him. Or did they? Learn more

Trends

Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities

Aleski Yurimov

Decoy

Unconfirmed

Choose an option⁠

Aleski Yurimov

25%

25¢

Decoy

57%

57¢

Unconfirmed

18%

18¢

Rules Summary

The market resolves YES if Joe's team extracted the selected option. Otherwise, the market resolves NO. The outcome will be verified in Season 3 of the show.

Market Closes

This market closes on 9/17/2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 9/17/2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Ideas⁠

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Choose an option⁠

Aleski Yurimov

25%

25¢

Decoy

57%

57¢

Unconfirmed

18%

18¢