Nicolas Cage transforms into NFL legend John Madden in David O. Russell's biopic — tracing the Super Bowl XI win with the Raiders, the broadcasting career that earned 16 Sports Emmys, and the video game franchise that sold 130 million copies. With Christian Bale as Al Davis, John Mulaney as EA's Trip Hawkins, and Russell back behind the camera for the first time since 2022, Madden has all the makings of an awards contender. Will Amazon Prime put it in theaters to qualify — or stay streaming-only? Learn more
Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities
This market resolves to YES if Madden gets a theatrical release. Otherwise, the market resolves to NO. The outcome will be verified by official announcements by the Studio or business trades like Variety, Deadline, or Hollywood Reporter.
This market closes on 11/6/2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 11/6/2026, 11:59 PM ET.