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Will Digger outgross Sinners' first-31-day domestic haul of $240.8M?

Sinners reminded studios that an original story — no franchise, no IP — can still pack theaters. Warner Bros. is going for it again with Digger. Alejandro G. Iñárritu directs; Tom Cruise disappears into an aging oil tycoon. Will this be another win for new, original stories? Learn more

Trends

Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities

Yes

No

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Yes

48%

48¢

No

52%

52¢

Rules Summary

The market resolves YES if Digger earns more domestically than Sinners in the first 31 days. Otherwise, the market resolves NO. The outcome will be verified by Box Office Mojo.

Market Closes

This market closes on 10/5/2026 at 7:59 PM ET.

This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 10/5/2026, 7:59 PM ET.

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