Who wins the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series?

Five of TV's finest leading men are up for the Emmy — from an ER attending holding a hospital together to a spy, a diplomat, and a father in freefall. Noah Wyle takes the stage as reigning champion after winning this category last year for The Pitt. Can he repeat, or does someone else win? Learn more

Trends

Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities

Noah Wyle – The Pitt

Sterling Brown – Paradise

Gary Oldman – Slow Horses

Mark Ruffalo – Task

Rufus Sewell – The Diplomat

Choose an option⁠

Noah Wyle – The Pitt

56%

56¢

Sterling Brown – Paradise

11%

11¢

Gary Oldman – Slow Horses

11%

11¢

Mark Ruffalo – Task

11%

11¢

Rufus Sewell – The Diplomat

11%

11¢

Rules Summary

The market resolves YES if the selected option wins the Emmy. Otherwise, the market resolves NO. The outcome will be verified by the Television Academy.

Market Closes

This market closes on 9/14/2026 at 8:00 PM ET.

This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 9/14/2026, 8:00 PM ET.

Ideas⁠

About Filmmaker

Learn more

Choose an option⁠

Noah Wyle – The Pitt

56%

56¢

Sterling Brown – Paradise

11%

11¢

Gary Oldman – Slow Horses

11%

11¢

Mark Ruffalo – Task

11%

11¢

Rufus Sewell – The Diplomat

11%

11¢