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The Weight

What will The Weight earn in its U.S. domestic opening weekend?

Russell Crowe & Ethan Hawke – two heavyweight stars, a 94% critics' score, and a gritty Depression-era survival story — but The Weight rolls out through indie distributor Vertical. Will this film draw a crowd on opening weekend? Call where it lands. Learn more

Trends

Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities

Under $500K
$500K–$1M
$1M–$1.99M
$2M–$2.99M
$3M–$3.99M
$4M-$4.99M
$5M or Higher
Choose an option⁠
Under $500K
14%
14¢
$500K–$1M
17%
17¢
$1M–$1.99M
14%
14¢
$2M–$2.99M
14%
14¢
$3M–$3.99M
14%
14¢
$4M-$4.99M
14%
14¢
$5M or Higher
14%
14¢
Rules Summary

The market will resolve YES if The Weight earns the selected option domestic opening weekend. Otherwise, the market resolves NO. The outcome will be verified on Box Office Mojo.

Market Closes

This market closes on 9/17/2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 9/17/2026, 11:59 PM ET.


Ideas⁠

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Choose an option⁠
Under $500K
14%
14¢
$500K–$1M
17%
17¢
$1M–$1.99M
14%
14¢
$2M–$2.99M
14%
14¢
$3M–$3.99M
14%
14¢
$4M-$4.99M
14%
14¢
$5M or Higher
14%
14¢