Three films have already crossed a billion dollars this year — a Mario sequel, a Michael Jackson biopic, and Toy Story 5. In 2019, nine movies got there. In 2020, none did. How many make it in 2026? Learn more
Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities
The market resolves YES if the selected option movies clear $1B worldwide in 2026 recorded on Box Office Mojo by January 1, 2027. . Otherwise, the market resolves NO. Note: This market counts only films that have reached $1 billion worldwide as of the recording date. A film released in 2026 that crosses $1 billion after January 5, 2027 does not count, even though its full theatrical run may eventually exceed that figure. December releases with strong momentum but totals below $1 billion on the recording date do not count. The outcome will be verified by Box Office Mojo.
This market closes on 12/31/2026 at 6:59 PM ET.
This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 12/31/2026, 6:59 PM ET.
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