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Market Trends

Screen adaptation announced for any of these newly public domain books: As I Lay Dying, The Maltese Falcon, The Murder at the Vicarage, or The Secret of the Old Clock?

This year thousands of works published in 1930 entered the U.S. public domain. William Faulkner's As I Lay Dying. Dashiell Hammett's noir masterpiece The Maltese Falcon. Agatha Christie's first Miss Marple mystery, The Murder at the Vicarage. And The Secret of the Old Clock, the book that introduced Nancy Drew. Will any studio or streamer announce a new screen adaptation of one of these four titles by year's end? Learn more

Trends

Percentages (%) reflect how people are predicting, not probabilities

Yes
No
Choose an option
Yes
54%
54¢
No
46%
46¢
Rules Summary

The market resolves to YES if any of these titles are announced to have a new film or TV adaptation. Otherwise, the market resolves to NO. The outcome will be verified by official studio announcements or by a major trade outlet (Variety, Deadline, The Hollywood Reporter)

Market Closes

This market closes on 12/31/2026 at 11:50 PM ET.

This market may close and expire early if the event occurs before the close date. Otherwise, it closes by 12/31/2026, 11:50 PM ET.


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Choose an option
Yes
54%
54¢
No
46%
46¢